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Poll Update

2012 Primary Florida:

There’s a four-way race at the top, in this PPP poll. Gingrich, Romney, Huckabee (18%) and Palin (15%). The current media line on Palin (for several weeks now) is that it is “looking more likely she is not running.”  Quite frankly, I’m not sure what to think. After a 3 week whirlwind of good moves she has completely fell off the face of the planet. Bachmann has moved up to 7%, probably a good portion of Palin supporters, as it is natural that voters will begin to gravitate towards announced candidates. Same goes with Gingrich who, after practically announcing, has moved ahead of Palin. Even Pawlenty is pulling a 6% now. If people begin thinking Palin is not running, she runs the risk of losing emotional and financial support. How long do you think she can wait? Will people wait for her?

2012 President Georgia:

Current head to head match-up vs Obama support levels: Palin 43%, Gingrich 45%, Romney 46%, Huckabee 48%. Obama gets between 43-48%. The head-to-heads may give Obama hope, but there is one key thing to remember: Obama is the guaranteed nominee and his Democrat support is firm. There is a higher percentage of undecideds (almost 2-1) among 2008 McCain supporters vs 2008 Obama supporters, as they are more likely to answer “not sure” given the lack of information about candidates or do to current support of another candidate. But those percentages will likely break at least 10-1 in favor of the Republican.

Tea Party Still Big

Oh, I thought that tea Party thing had a short shelf life? 2010 was the biggest statement, as Tea Party candidates claimed the political careers of GOP establishment incumbents, supposed “conservative” Democrats, and swept the Gouse, the Gubers, State houses, and did damage in the Senate. “The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 48% of Likely U.S. Voters say when it comes to the major issues facing the country, their views are closer to the average Tea Party member as opposed to the average member of Congress.  Just 22% say their views are closest to those of the average congressman.” So, of those with an opinion, a solid 69% choose the Tea Party to 31% the average member of congress. Yes, dismiss at your own risk.

Obama Weaknesses (Everything) : What Candidate Can Take Advantage

In the latest Zogby Release, rating Obama’s performance on key issues, he manages to get a Good/Excellent rating by 50%+ on 1 issue: Japan Disaster Relief. Yeah, he’ll run on that in 2012. As far as The Big 5 Issues I’ve discussed before: Immigration (27%), Energy(30%), Economy(35%), Healthcare(36%).



Categories: General
  1. Franklin
    April 6, 2011 at 1:02 am

    I suspect she will likely announce in June. It seems that the top of the field is
    largely muddled. interesting about Bachmann is that she says she would prefer to
    wait until June to set up a exploratory committee. It does seem that she might be
    waiting for Palin to make a decision.

  2. PhillyCon
    April 8, 2011 at 8:26 am

    Trump also said he would consider running as an Independent if he did not secure the GOP nomination. Yeah, real conservative guy.

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