Home > General > Did Palin Cost McCain the Election? Another MSM/Establishment Falsehood

Did Palin Cost McCain the Election? Another MSM/Establishment Falsehood

There are few coherent arguments that anti-Palin establishment Republicans/MSM can pull together about why they dislike Sarah Palin so. Rarely are the arguments on policy, accept to falsely claim that Palin never talks policy. (And if you want a challenge, I can find more coherent, non-convoluted policy positions from Sarah Palin than I can from most of the other candidates who are too afraid to take a stand and stand by it). Or, they say “she quit the governorship!” Oh okay. These are typically the same people who are practically begging NJ governor Chris Christie to quit the Governorship even earlier than Palin did to run for President. And at least Palin accomplished something (oh, and had a reason to quit).

But what they really love to claim is that Palin can’t win, and she actually cost McCain the election in 2008. Once again, reality (and polling data) tell a different story.

According to Gallup Daily tracking done in 2008, John McCain clearly lost the election for himself, and never really had a shot anyway. Palin was his one desperate hail Mary, that hung in the air for awhile, but ultimately came down unable to pull McCain from a loss. Starting on June 5th, McCain trailed Obama on every single daily tracking poll posted, day after day, by as much as 9 points, but usually by between 3-7 points. In fact, for the entire 3 months before Palin was selected as his VP choice, McCain had a whopping total of 1 day where he was ahead of Obama, a lead of 46-44% on 8-25-08.

On August 29th, 2008, Sarah Palin was announced as John McCain’s running mate. For each of the days before Palin was announced, McCain trailed Obama by 8 points, 49%-41%. (Obama would actually win by 7%). After Palin’s announcement, plus her strong (and very well-received speech at the RNC convention), the McCain Palin team led Obama-Biden for much of the first half of September. After the typical Convention speech “bump” had dissipated, McCain led by 2%.

But on September 24th, things changed. The anti-Palin types would like us all to believe that Sarah Palin’s interview with Katie Couric cost McCain the election. But what happened after September 24th was voters who claimed the economy was their #1 issue had completely turned against McCain and now favored Obama by a 2-1 margin. (Yes, believe it or not, Palin’s newspaper reading list – and how condescending a question is that? – was not on the voters’ minds. But what was on voters’ minds was McCain’s September 24th campaign suspension to focus on the “financial crisis.” Obama laughed, claiming he could do more than one thing at once (now proven he can’t do even one thing at once). President Bush gathered with Senators Obama and McCain, and Obama took control. Though it was reported as amateur hour for Obama, McCain was seemingly uninvolved. In fact, McCain wound up agreeing with Obama on everything anyway in the end. On top of that, Obama was promising tax cuts that McCain wasn’t.

Nearly immediately, McCain plummeted in the polls as voters viewed Obama as the one to get the economy fixed. He quickly fell behind in the polls and never recovered. The reality is, McCain trailed almost the entire time. In over 150 days of daily tracking, McCain led for just 11 days. Yes, 11 days. And he led for no days in the 2 months prior to his selection of Sarah Palin as VP, and never after announcing he was “suspending his campaign.”


Categories: General
  1. gah
    June 4, 2011 at 9:19 pm

    Hitching Palin to McCain was like hitching a throughbred race horse to a block of cement, and expecting the horse to pull it across the finish-line. McCain showed absolutely no willingness to fight, plus most of his policies weren’t any different than 0bama’s. When he told someone at one of his townhall meetings that 0bama was a good man, and there was no need to fear an 0bama presidency, I knew it was all over.

  2. serfer62
    June 4, 2011 at 10:24 pm

    I was so disgusted with the fumbling GOP & McNasty I was going to not vote…first time in 50 years.
    After the VP announcement I looked the Gov up and sent money to that campagein. BUT i did not vote for the rino, I voted for the Gov

  3. serfer62
    June 4, 2011 at 10:30 pm

    There are some things to consider.
    1) Trump, after pizza Tuesday, said that the Gov is a fully qualified conservative.
    2) Trump said if a fully qualified conservative wasn’t the GOP nominee he would run 3rd party.
    3) She talked briefly with Col West at rolling Thunder.
    4) She obviously has the support of Limbaugh, most Tea Party & conservatives.
    She will run, she will be nominated & she will win POTUS.

  4. Bill589
    June 5, 2011 at 1:50 am

    I’ve met people who voted for Palin in 2008. I haven’t met any that voted for McCain.

    Especially after the Left made her sidestep their attacks and reload, she has consistently been first and most effective at attacking Obama’s policies. She strengthened the TPM. Helped get conservatives into congress. All while under constant media attack like no other ever. She has shown the fortitude, the others can merely promise.

    She has to run. She will attack Obama, going for the throat as she always does, and beat him in 2012. And then from what I’ve read and what I’ve seen, she has the courage and tenaciousness needed to fix our exceptional country.

  5. ayamo
    June 5, 2011 at 4:46 am

    You are so right! Sarah did not cost McCain the election, he prevented the whole thing from becoming an even greater disaster!

    Thank you so much for your work, pollinsider. I really appreciate it and your analysis are a constant argument in my arguments with anti-Palin people.

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