Home > General > Michele Bachmann Does not Equal Sarah Palin

Michele Bachmann Does not Equal Sarah Palin

If you listened to the MSM/LSM or GOP Establishment last week, you would have “learned” that Michele Bachmann has completely made Sarah Palin irrelevant and has surpassed her on the national stage. Since we know that only one candidate for President can have breasts, the media declared that such candidate is: Michele Bachmann. And, of course, she is everything Sarah Palin is, but “better.”

First, let me say, I do not dislike Michele Bachmann. Though I may poke some fun at her on Twitter, and though her main campaign guy is a doofus, I very much liked her passionate response about life at Monday’s national debate. But the instant dismissal of Palin by the media, based on a single poll, and attempts to say that Bachmann is the new (and better!) Palin have little merit. So, let’s break it down.

They say “Michele Bachmann is surging!”

The media’s MO is to be kingmaker. They want to talk about the candidates they want you to know about. (Does anyone think even 1% of people would know who huntsman was if the media weren’t endlessly promoting him?) Of course, this surge is based on one singular poll (done by a very valid Rasmussen) that did not include Sarah Palin. It’s pretty hard to claim that A surged past B when only A was tested. And as for that surge while it had Bachmann up to 19%, it had Romney at an outside the MoE 33%. It’s easiest to assume that Bachmann scored so well because 1) she received most of the positive soundbites  following the debate, despite few people watching, and the rest of the candidates tested in the poll were subpar: Tim Pawlenty and Newt Gingrich are trending down and Herman Cain has been stuck at 10% since the first debate. And since Rasmussen does not test candidate regularly (nor does he test the same ones or multiple scenarios) it’s hard to know how much Bachmann has improved since I couldn’t find a prior survey that included both Romney and Bachmann. Interestingly, Romney led the last “frontrunner poll” while Bachmann led the “dark horse poll” that were taken at the same time by Rasmussen. So of all the candidates mentioned, Bachmann and Romney were already the top 2 in Rasmussen surveys.

But the big red flag is: Michele Bachmann is still losing to Mitt Romney by a huge margin. Of those selecting either Romney or Bachmann, it was Romney at 63.5% to Bachmann’s 36.5%. The difference between Bachmann and Palin is that Sarah Palin is almost always within the Margin of Error, is statistically tied, or is leading Romney. Not only that, but Palin and Romney actually takes a large chunk of Romney’s support. We know this, because when Palin is polled, Romney is in the 20-25% range, but when only she is removed Romney jumps to the 27-35% range, while other candidates gain little traction. It does little good to surge if your main competition is surging as well by the same margin. And Romney remains double digits ahead of Bachmann, just as he did prior to Bachmann’s surge. but most importantly, one poll does not constitute a surge, as few are saying that Herman Cain is surging despite his equally “surprising” jump to 2nd place in a PPP survey last week. Alas, Cain is not the flavor of the week.

Bachmann is “The Flavor of the week”

Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin are the Vanilla and Chocolate of the GOP Primary season. Many Palin supporters get upset when the media “ignores” Palin as a major factor in the race. Pay attention the next time the talking heads discuss the GOP nomination and see how often they bring up Mitt Romney. It doesn’t happen much, except in passing to mention he is the frontrunner. Why do they ignore the frontrunners? Because Chocolate and Vanilla aren’t going anywhere, it’s the Pineapple Surprise, Strawberry Mint, and Blueberry Swirl flavors that have a short lifespan. And in the world of 24/7 News, you have to talk about the flavor of the week, not chocolate and vanilla.

I don’t hold the theory that analysts are ignoring Palin because they do not think she is serious or running. I think they are ignoring her because they know she is running. And most viewers don’t want to listen to “it’s Romney vs. Palin” every day for the next 6 months. So, 3 months ago it was Pawlenty, Pawlenty, Pawlenty! Last month it was Cain, Cain, Cain! This month it’s Bachmann, Bachmann, Bachmann! Next Month it’ll be Jon Huntsman. Then the next after that it could be Rick Perry/Rudy Giuliani/Mike Huckabee/My Grandma. Who knows! (And throughout all this time their will be the mandatory and occasional mentions of the Christies, Ryans, and Daniels.) But the media loves talking about the flavor of the month, not Vanilla and Chocolate, which are always in. If Bachmann wants to be a main flavor, she has to get within single digits of the frontrunner, not be a distant loser.

Palin and Bachmann Have Little in Common

They are both women, they are both conservative, and they both have a Tea Party base, but there differences are bountiful

1) Experience: Ignored or dismissed, Palin’s record includes a term on the Wasilla Council, two terms as Wasilla, AK Mayor, a stint as Chairwoman of the Alaska Oil and gas Conservation Commision (which she left to almost single-handily take down the corrupt GOP Establishment in Alaska- reason enough to vote for her), Governor from 2006-2009, and lead opponent of all things Obama and leading “king-maker” of the 2010 election cycle. So, there was that. Even though her term as Governor was short, her effectiveness was proven and she accomplished a lot.

However, listening to Bachmann’s describe her own accomplishments shows how little she has in the way of proving she has the experience to be an effective leader. In the debates, all of her accomplishments essentially amount to: “I voted against a bill that did such and such.” Bachmann has no executive experience, no leadership experience, and is essentially an ignored member of the Congress by even her own party. While she has a strong voting record, that is all she has.

2) Sarah Palin started the Tea Party, Bachmann Co-Opted it – So, Sarah Palin didn’t technically “start” the Tea Party, no one did. But she might as well have. In 2008, for the first time in, well, ever, Republicans started doing something they never did before: showed up in large numbers to rallies and events. For the first time I can recall, the “silent majority” was actually quite loud. What happened was the conservative base found someone to rally around (someone inspirational, tough, conservative) and they showed up. And as Palin became the main opponent to Obama (and as conservatives fought back for the first time) so came about the Tea Party. Sarah Palin inspired a whole new crop of people who were never inspired before. And when Sarah Palin took part in a Tea Party rally in liberal Wisconsin in the freezing cold, thousands showed up. Sarah Palin is the only politician who can draw a Tea Party crowd (Note the barely attended events of Tim Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain and Mitt Romney avoids the Tea Party altogether).

Michele Bachmann has done her best to try and take advantage of the Tea Party, which is obviously a smart move for any politician. But unlike Palin who has not sought to be the “leader” of the Tea Party, Michele has. She started the Tea Party caucus in congress, she holds Tea Party rallies in Washington, and she gave the “Tea Party Response” to the State of the Union which was, in my opinion, a low point and unnecessary.

3) The Populist – Palin naturally comes off as a populist conservative, whereas Bachmann comes off as an elitist trying to seem like a populist conservative. In fact, Bachmann comes off as someone trying to be Sarah Palin. And while my goal is not to bash Bachmann, this is too hard not to notice. Her style, the things she says and how she says them are all reminiscint of Palin. She’s even trying to steal, as Bristol would say, Palin’s “Prom Hair.”

A Candidate Vetted – Why Are Liberals Pushing Bachmann too?

Most importantly Sarah Palin is Vetted. In fact, more so than any person in the history of all worlds in all the universes. After a 3 year full-body, molecular cell-level examination the media and the leftists have nothing on her. Nothing. The exclamation point to this was the release of her e-mails which proved that, golly gee, she actually believes in all that hokey-pokey stuff she says she believes in. Sure, the MSM has damaged her image greatly by false reprsentation, but the reality is there isn’t much to dislike about Sarah Palin on a personal level when you get past the media malpractice. So it’s actually quite amazing that so many people do. Meanwhile, after the Bus Tour and the E-Mail deal, the media seems almost as though they have given up on trying to find some smoking gun on Sarah Palin. Over the last two weeks, they were practically forced to write nice things about her. I think the media really thought she was everything they said she was. And then they realized she isn’t. The upside is, Palin can only go up from here.

On the other hand, what do we know about Michele Bachmann? Not much. More interestingly, why is the media holding back on her when they were so excited to go after Sarah Palin. It’s almost as if they want to see her get the nomination first. Nah, why would they want that? And when Chris Matthews from MSNBC talks about how wonderful she is? Yeah, this is the guy who for the past year has obsessed with attacking Bachmann and calling her such things as: “a ditz, balloon-head, no-nothing, zombie, persistently hypnotized.” And now he loves her? I wonder why. How much stuff will come out about Bachmann, true or not, that will be a mainstay on TVs for months? How bogged down will Bachmann be going through what Palin has gone through?

Support

Finally, no candidate can bring out the crowds that Sarah Palin can. That is a fact. And no other Republican has. Imagine the silliness of being so desperate for a headline, that you have to dramatically “announce” you are actually going to run for President while taking part in a Presidential debate, as Bachmann did. That might be good enough for flavor of the month status, but little else. Sarah Palin has more people showing up where she isn’t at (bus tour) than most candidates have when they announce they are actually going to be somewhere. Even Mitt Romney had a small crowd show up for his big New Hampshire announcement, a state he is popular in.

So, I’m sure by this time two weeks from now, there will be little more talk about “Bachmann.” And since Huntsman is supposedly announcing this week, there may already be a new media-created flavor of the week.

 

 

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Categories: General
  1. ayamo
    June 20, 2011 at 8:42 am

    Bravissimo! Yet another awesome piece, thank you very much. 🙂
    Yep, Bachmann is the flavor candidate of the week. She had good moments in the debate and I like her although her endless fundraising emails are going on my nerves. Next week it will be Huntsman, then Rick Perry and Bill Kristol is throwing the rumor around that John Thune is reconsidering. The establishment is so desperate to find someone who is no-Romney, but still controllable by them is pathetic. The moment Sarah Palin announces, it will be a firestorm.

  2. ramorywebb
    June 20, 2011 at 12:31 pm

    Good article that makes rationale points !

    Since I love ice cream the use of that analogy was perfect!

    Now for a hot fudge sundae, coffee ice cream, whipping cream and almonds. All low cal of course!

  3. Cat
    June 20, 2011 at 1:17 pm

    Great article – you have nailed it!! Only thing I can add it that when our “Shadow President” comes out of the shade, everyone else will fade into the sunset. Hope the candidates enjoy their little time in the sun, because it will soon be gone.

  4. June 20, 2011 at 1:33 pm

    I’m really not much of a fan of both, but it does seem like only one can be the female candidate. I guess those liberal media outlets aren’t as liberal as they think.

  5. serfer62
    June 20, 2011 at 2:08 pm

    Poll Insider…I cite your post on conservative blogs as arguements so support Palin as POTUS.
    By the way, is Mrs Palin appropriate?

  6. bohema
    June 20, 2011 at 5:16 pm

    You should include in Palin’s experience that she was the Vice President candidate in 2008, and 58 million people voted for the McCain/Palin ticket.

  7. Carl
    June 20, 2011 at 7:42 pm

    Sarah Palin will DEFEAT Obama Next Year to BECOME President of USA in 2013….

  8. June 20, 2011 at 7:48 pm

    Once Governor Palin makes her de facto candidacy official, Congresswoman Bachmann’s support vanishes, as does Herman Cain’s.

    The only certain way Governor Palin doesn’t get elected to the Presidency is if she decides not to run. If she runs but fails to win the nomination, it will be because Republicans are cowards or fools–or both. If she wins the nomination but loses the general election, it will be because a majority of American voters have a death wish for their nation.

  9. Stanley Phillips
    June 20, 2011 at 10:03 pm

    Bachmann does have executive as the co-owner of a business with 50 employees, and business experience has been used by and for other candidates. Michele Bachmann does have one thing working for her that Sarah Palin doesn’t have and that is she is a declared candidate, while Palin has left plenty of doors for her to sit out this election. Yes she has left doors for her to still enter, but Bachmann already has.

  10. KBB
    June 21, 2011 at 3:55 am

    ” If she [Palin] wins the nomination but loses the general election, it will be because a majority of American voters have a death wish for their nation.”

    If she wins the nomination but loses the general election, it will only be because of Obama’s FRAUD SQUAD, e.g., ACORN, SEIU, OFA, etc.

    • Palin/west2012
      June 21, 2011 at 10:17 pm

      I agree and like 2008 don’t forget the “unofficial 2 billion spent by the Saudis will again at leaset be matched or exceeded by them in 2012!

  11. Jack
    June 21, 2011 at 7:59 am

    Great, Its about time Bachmann is exposed for the phoney that she is !!

  12. VA Independent
    June 28, 2011 at 11:33 pm

    I totally agree. I like Michelle, but she does not compare to Sarah. BTW not to be mean, but I get tired of hearing about he blah blah blah number of foster kids she has raised. I think it’s great, but she mentioned it 3 times during the debate and continues to mention it every time I hear her speak. Have been anxiously waiting for Sarah to announce. I fell in love with her the first time I saw an interview with Glenn Beck months before her VP announcement. My thoughts….finally a politican with guts.

  13. Rae4palin
    June 30, 2011 at 1:21 am

    Excellent analysis.

  1. June 20, 2011 at 8:49 am
  2. June 24, 2011 at 7:11 am

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